Just how bad has Adam Dunn been, really?
By mere technicality, Adam Dunn won't break the single-season strikeout record. He's missed 39 games this year, but it isn't because he's been hurt. Dunn has been so atrocious that he's been benched repeatedly, and is only playing now because Paul Konerko and Brent Lillibridge, the other two first basemen on the White Sox roster, are too hurt to play the position. Through 121 games, Dunn has amassed 174 strikeouts, a number well short of Mark Reynolds, who whiffed 223 times in 2009. But even with his embarrassing strikeout total, Reynolds' season was more than redeemable. He collected 44 home runs, 102 RBI and even hit .260, phenomenal numbers all things considered. Dunn, on the other hand, has no other stats to fall back on. His statline -- a .160 batting average, 11 home runs and 42 RBI -- is Rocky-Dennis-in-a-funhouse-mirror ugly.
Even without the strikeout record, Dunn's season has been nothing short of a disaster. With 174 strikeouts in 412 at-bats, Dunn has a strikeout rate of 42.2%, which will break Reynolds' 2010 total by a whopping 7% as the highest in history. He will join Mark Reynolds (2010) as the only hitters in history to have a higher strikeout total than his batting average, which is all the more impressive considering Reynolds batted 38 points better than Dunn. His overall batting average can officially be described as the worst ever, as it's the lowest of any batter with at least 450 plate appearances. His hit rate against left-handed-pitchers is an ungodly .091, which reads more like a Texas speed limit than a batting average.
Then factor in that he's being paid $12 million this year, that he made the switch from the tougher-to-hit-in National League to a hitter's paradise in the American League, that he spent most of the year batting cleanup for the White Sox, that he did it as their designated hitter, and that his home run and RBI totals aren't even Top 5 on his own team, let alone in the league, and it's very possible that we've just witness the worst single-season hitting performance in baseball history. And what's spectacular is that it came from one of the best, stablest home run hitters in the game, a player who was coming off seven straight years of at least 38 home runs -- a feat done by only he, Babe Ruth and Rafael Palmeiro. He'll turn 32 years this November and has 365 home runs. He could easily finish his career with 500 home runs, assuming this monstrosity was only a blip on the radar.
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How can you say the NL is "tougher to hit in"
The pitching is far better in the AL, it is considered more difficult to hit in the AL than the NL by most.
The American League has the designated hitter, which adds a whole extra offensive player to the batting lineup. Batters get appreciably better going to the AL all the time (Adrian Gonzalez, Miguel Cabrera). There’s more runs scored in the AL, and there’s also very little parity, since AL East teams almost always come away with two of the four playoff spots. Most of the Central and West teams in the AL are awful, and Dunn went from a division with the Phillies and Braves in it to a hitter’s park in Chicago.
A lot of people thought Dunn would hit 50 home runs this year, even though he’s never done it before. They didn’t pull that prediction out of thin air. They expected him to better than he had in the NL, because the AL is a favorable league for hitters.
Inhistoric -- the SB Nation sports history blog.

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