When 16-0 meant something more
In 1998, Mark McGwire set the sports world a-buzzin' by hitting 70 home runs in a single season and obliterating the record set by Roger Maris way back in 1961. When it came to auction time, McGwire's 70th home run ball was sold for more than $3 million, making it the most valuable piece of sports memorabilia in the world -- even more than the mint condition Honus Wagner rookie card that had been purchased by Wayne Gretzky. A few years later, Barry Bonds broke Big Mac's record with 73 home runs; people were expecting big things from the 73-ball, and the auction was even broadcasted live on ESPN. However, Bonds' record-setting ball was only sold for $450,000 -- not even a sixth of what McGwire's ball went for.
The same phenomenon is going on in the NFL right now. The Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints are both 12-0 and will play only a few more winning team the rest of the year. One or both clubs have a fantastic chance at going undefeated, yet you wouldn't know it from the way people are treating it. Sure, people are paying attention, but compared to the focus given to the 2007 New England Patriots -- the first team to ever go 16-0 -- it's pretty much nothing.
The reason is that in sports, there's a saturation point just like there is in every other facet of life. When the Patriots went 16-0, it was exciting because no team had ever done it before, and no team had even had a perfect season since the '72 Dolphins. Two years later, if a pair of teams happen to go 16-0, what's the big deal? Been there, done that.
It doesn't help that neither the Colts or Saints stack up well to the 2007 Patriots. Part of the allure of that team was that they were kicking the living daylights of teams and look completely unbeatable -- you will never see the same betting lines that the Patriots got for their final games of the year. Plus, New England was going after something that hadn't been done before and was making their case as one of the greatest teams of all time. Neither is true of the Colts or Saints, who have both had plenty of scares in the regular season, particularly New Orleans, who would have lost yesterday if not for the chokejob of the century by the Washington Redskins. As for Indianapolis, the Colts have begun the season with a perfect mark so many times lately that it doesn't feel all that jaw-dropping -- though that could change if they actually go 16-0.
The other thing that will diminish a perfect season, should either team accomplish it, will be the state of the NFL at the moment. Never before have there been so many god-awful teams, and it's certainly benefited the Colts and Saints. In fact the league is so top-heavy that you can make the case that had the schedulers picked tougher opponents for the Saints and Colts, neither team would be undefeated. Minnesota is 10-2 right now, but their two losses were road games against the two teams that went to the Super Bowl last year. In contrast, the Saints have played seven sub-.500 teams and haven't had much of a challenge at all, save a road game at Philly and a home game versus the Pats.
The Dallas Cowboys and Denver Broncos pose the best threat to hand either team their first loss of the year. If it happens, it'll be cool. It just won't set the world on fire.
[Correction appended: I originally wrote that both teams had only one more winning team left on the schedule. This is not the case.]
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I agree.
In a way, it makes me sad. I am a Buccaneer fan but enjoy football in general. I understood what was happening in 2007 with the Pats and now with the Colts and Saints but this season in particular has been a bit of a letdown, and not because of my Bucs’ horrific 1-11 record. I root against the Indy and New Orleans every week because I personally do not want to see another team go undefeated, especially two, because then it becomes just another stat. But every time i watch the Colts or Saints play and it seems as if they are going to lose, the pull out some crazy, rediculous victory. What happened to the “any given sunday” days where anyone could upset anyone. It makes me feel like I am losing my faith in the sport. A very small part of me even thinks that situations like that are staged and predetermined. A VERY SMALL PART, which would absolutely crush my love for the game. I hope this is not the case.
The Colts have to play two winning teams: the Jags and the Broncos, and one .500 team: the Jets.
Obviously that is besides the point of this article. It’s still special even if it has been done before. This year is special simply because there are two teams and one of them has never had anything like this. They’re breaking their franchise records left and right. They came out of nowhere. The Pats had a history of winning three SBs, the Saints had nothing. It’s special mainly because the Pats didn’t get to 19-0. Until that is achieved, the 16-0 pursuit will always be special.
The Colts won’t go 16-0. The organization will rest players if they win next week and get the number one seed clinched. The Colts have only played one really bad team. All of their other opponents have at least five victories with four having a winning record and two others being .500. As I mentioned above, two more will have a winning record and the Jets are .500 with a chance to finish w/ a winning record. The Colts could end up winning against seven opponents w/ a winning record, the same as the Pats in 07. In addition, the Colts currently are playing the best division in football – 29 total wins with four games left to play while the Pats in 07 were in one of the worst division in football – 28 total wins after 16 games. And the Pats blew out ppl that year, but they had plenty of close shaves including the Indy game, the Ravens game, the Philly game, and the Giants game. The Saints have blown out teams just as much as the Pats and had a few close shaves. It happens.
Today’s NFL rewards consistency in coaching and management and a solid QB above all, IMO. There are four really awful teams this year, there were three last year. The wins are actually more spread out this year among the other teams this year than last year. Look at the standings.
I also don’t understand the talk about schedulers giving them a harder schedule. The teams on the schedule are not handpicked by the NFL, it’s based on a formula. If you mean the dates and locations, if the Colts had had a choice, do you think they would’ve picked back to back cross country night ROAD games six days apart? Show me one team that had a tougher scheduling of two games than what happened there. And with the Saints, the NFL would had no idea they were going to be this good, so I don’t see how anyone could have pre planned them getting all of their difficult games at home.
I think there’s plenty of the same intrigue as there was in 07, this is just different because there are two teams and both teams are mostly rooting for each other to continue. It’s different, but still special.
I don’t want the Colts to go for 16-0 as it’s not worth it, but I would love for the Saints to continue. That organization deserves something like this.
If both win a couple more
I think you’ll start to see more fanfare/discussion about it. I wrote a post about it last week, comparing both teams to the 2007 Pats. As Zombie said, neither team quite matches up to that Pats team in terms of points scored vs. allowed, but the Saints seem to be pretty close. Through 11 games, the Colts had actually given up one fewer point than the Pats.
I will say this. If one or both teams go 16-0, I really don’t give them a good chance at getting to the SB. The last 3 teams to win 15 or more games (‘98 Vikes, ’04 Steelers, ’07 Pats) in the regular season lost in either the championship game or the SB. I think that it’s almost impossible for these teams to live up to the pressure that today’s media brings. And, although every year, some teams win 13+ games, the league’s parity does seem to show up in the playoffs. Back in the ’80s, if a team won 14 or 15 games, it was almost a given that they would win it all. Not so in recent years.
For ideas on statistical analyses, email me at wolfpacksteelersfan@gmail.com.
by WolfpackSteelersFan on Dec 7, 2009 7:09 PM EST reply actions

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