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NFL in Europe: the dream that will not die

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It was a little more than 26 years ago that the St. Louis Cardinals (now in Arizona) defeated the Minnesota Vikings, 41-31, in the first NFL game ever played at London's Wembley Stadium. Since then, numerous preseason and regular season games have been played in London, and earlier this week, the NFL confirmed that once again more games will be scheduled there in 2010.

The NFL has now played games in Toronto and London and Mexico. Obviously, the reason the league continues to do these out-of-country games is because they get a lot of money out of it. But it doesn't make sense why they can't just schedule those games inside the United States, in places like Omaha or Nebraska or Kentucky where there is no NFL team, and where they'd easily be able to produce a sellout.

The answer is that the NFL, like all the sports leagues, holds firmly onto the idea that one day, in the near future, they will be able to put a sports team in Europe. David Stern once went even farther and said he expected a whole European division in the NBA in less than a decade -- Stern said that a year-and-a-half ago. The dream is that by putting a team in Europe, you open yourself not only to a whole new country of potential fans, but a whole new continent as well.

Of course, there are many logistical problems involved that make putting a sports teams in Europe a dream. The biggest one, obviously, is air travel. No league could possibly expect the Seattle or San Francisco or Los Angeles teams to make regular trips to Wembley Stadium, and the ones that did would have to have some sort of incentive, like a bye.

The other problem is that the European dream, on the whole, is a total falacy. The NBA and NFL both want to believe that if you put a team in London or France, and because that team is the only one in the country, everyone will rally around that team and it'll be instant sellouts every single game. But we know that's not true. Look at the Toronto Raptors and Toronto Blue Jays and (when they existed) the Vancouver Grizzlies. Do we see instant sellouts for every single game? No, because just like American sports towns, Canadian sports towns have either fair weather fans or fans that just don't care about basketball/football/baseball. Plus, when it comes to Canada and England, those sports are barely even on the radar compared to hockey and soccer -- in the NFL's case, the idea that they could ever have a team in Europe is particularly absurd since American soccer means nothing over there.

Also, putting a team in another continent could have dire consequences for the respective league's ratings. You think the San Antonio Spurs and Buffalo Bills are a bad draw? Just imagine if either of those teams played in London. There's a reason why the Toronto Raptors are always near the bottom of the NBA in road attendance -- Americans just don't care about foreign teams, and the same is probably true in Europe.

Instead of global expansion, what the leagues should really concentrate on is luring star players from foreign nations. Look at what we've seen from the Houston Rockets since they drafted Yao Ming -- they've basically become the sports liason between America and China and are easily the most popular basketball team, worldwide. Would having a team in China produce the same results? Possibly, but compared to the results had by just staying inside the United States, it'd likely be nothing to write home about.

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American soccer means nothing over there

because over there they play the exact same sport, only with better players and better teams. That’s just not a good comparison; it’s no different than saying “Division III football means nothing over here.” (Which, much to my annoyance and dismay, is true.)

The NFL would fail in London if it put an expansion franchise there to lose, lose, and lose some more. But if a decent team were moved there, and was competitive immediately? I think it would succeed, and wildly. No, the British haven’t taken our strange and silly little form of “football” to heart, but the opportunity to support a team which has the chance to play in the most-watched annual sporting event in the world, and possibly beat the Yanks at their own game? Oh, it’d succeed.

Further, the NFL is mostly immune from the “road game” sell-out problem; decent teams sell out home games against even crappy teams that nobody cares about. It’s the crappy teams that can’t sell out home games. (The NBA isn’t as immune, I’ll grant you. The more games you play in a season, the more incentive you need to provide the populace.)

This space for rent.

by jonfmorse on Dec 16, 2009 7:12 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Divisons

I think David Stern’s model is better then one or two NFL teams. If there is a division of four teams in Europe three teams from the US could travel once a year to play those games and that would be their only trip. That is doable for the US teams since it would be once a season (well unless playoffs occur which has not even been mentioned anywhere and will be a logistics nightmare). I would argue that the European teams would have more problems then the state side teams in terms of travel. If the Condor was brought back at least for NBA teams they could cross the Atlantic in 3 hours instead of six to eight. The Euro teams would be on extensive road trips and all four would most likely all be on the road at the same time which would hurt the European market if home teams are away for 3 weeks at a time, with the only exception be east coast teams since the time difference is similar to a cross country game in the US.

A single NFL team would never work because of statements made above. Two teams would be more helpful in scheduling for both US and Euro teams, plus an extra bye week must be included. With two Euro teams a US based team in the central or more western time zones could travel for two weeks and play both teams while hanging out in the Europe then get a bye after.

The European teams could do the same, but both could have alternating scheduling at times so there is almost always a game in Europe. I still think East coast teams or UK teams traveling to NY, Carolina’s, Miami, or Philly is basically like an East coast or West coast team.

by Jeremy Mauss on Dec 26, 2009 1:56 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

One more thing

I really believe that NFL preseason games should be played at college stadiums. Those would sell out and be a good way for teams to grab a larger regional fan base. Denver and San Francisco have a ton of fans in SLC, so why not play a game between the two at University of Utah or BYU’s stadium. Fans would go and it could be a test for future grow in expansion.

Seattle could go to Boise State or University of Oregon, I would sure go even though a preseason game.

by Jeremy Mauss on Dec 26, 2009 2:01 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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